CPM Market Commentary - Preparing for the Unforeseeable
CPM has been writing about the wisdom of holding increased portions of one’s wealth in gold as economic, political, and financial market problems rise. We see the next five years, maybe longer, as being particularly hostile to consumers, investors, and small enterprises for a variety of reasons.
Then the Coronavirus epidemic turned into a pandemic, which changes everything. It accelerates and heightens the hostile economic, political, and financial developments. Several clients, reporters, and others in recent weeks have said to us, ‘you can’t prepare for the unforeseeable,’ to which we have replied: Yes, you can! The subject of “How You Can Prepare For the Unforeseeable” is a central premise to the wisdom of holding some of your wealth and portfolio in gold.
CPM’s thinking here started with an interview at PDAC two weeks ago. The reporter said she guessed no one can prepare for the unforeseeable. I said, “Of course you can. You can assume with 100% certainty that:
- There will be many recessions in the future,
- Major global and national financial crises,
- International political disputes, and
- Global epidemics.”
- You also can add: Natural and manmade disasters and
- Ineffective government responses,
- Stock market crashes and bear markets.
These obviously will occur, as they always have. You just do not know when, how deep, how widespread, and how long they will last, and what they will do to you personally. But you can be sure they will happen, and yes you can prepare for them. Just looking at the medical epidemics of recent years:
SARS 2002 – 2004
Swine Flu H1N1, 2009
MERS 2012
Ebola 2013 – 2016
And now Covid-19
Don’t forget all the ones before 2002, including the swine flu pandemic of 1919.
No one should have assumed the risks of global medical epidemics and pandemics ended with Ebola. Laying in the ability to isolate yourself and take care of yourself is no different than preparing water, batteries, lanterns, and such if you live in hurricane country, a flood plain, earthquake fault line, or tornado zone.
You prepare by:
- Buying and holding gold
- Diversifying one’s wealth
- And doing other things like diversifying where your assets are stored.
CPM Group Gold Yearbook 2020 – Release and briefing
CPM Group will release its Gold Yearbook 2020 with a live webcast from New York City on 24 March 2020. CPM Group’s Gold Yearbook 2020 contains detailed statistics on the international gold market. It includes analysis of supply and demand trends, bullion and futures market activity, central banks, investment demand, projections for the next year, and much more.
Live Webcast 24 March 2020 – 10:00 a.m. – 11:30 a.m. Agenda: 10:00 – 11:00 2020 Yearbook briefing
11:00 – 11:30 Q&A
Copyright CPM Group 2020. Not for reproduction or retransmission without written consent of CPM Group. Market Commentaries are published irregularly by CPM Group as market conditions dictate, and are distributed via e-mail. The views expressed within are solely those of CPM Group. Such information has not been verified, nor does CPM make any representation as to its accuracy or completeness. Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. While every effort has been made to ensure that the accuracy of the material contained in the reports is correct, CPM Group cannot be held liable for errors or omissions. CPM Group is not soliciting any action based on it. Information contained here should not be relied on as specific investment or market timing advice. At times the principals and associates of CPM Group may have long or short positions in some of the markets mentioned here.